{"id":45595,"date":"2026-04-22T13:04:29","date_gmt":"2026-04-22T13:04:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/uncategorized\/45595\/"},"modified":"2026-04-22T13:04:29","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T13:04:29","slug":"deutsche-bank-analysts-say-sp-500-futures-recover-after-iran-linked-losses-and-a-more-hawkish-fed-outlook","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/live-updates\/45595\/","title":{"rendered":"Deutsche Bank analysts say S&#038;P 500 futures recover after Iran-linked losses and a more hawkish Fed outlook"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P 500 futures rose 0.51% after the index fell 0.63% in the prior session. The decline was the S&#038;P 500\u2019s worst day since 27 March and marked its first back-to-back fall in three weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Markets recovered overnight after a ceasefire extension, following losses in bonds and equities in the US and Europe. The prior day\u2019s move saw the S&#038;P 500 give up early gains and close lower.<\/p>\n<p>The sell-off came despite strong US data and some positive earnings. Trading was pressured by Iran-related geopolitical risks and expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve.<\/p>\n<p>The fall was broad, with two-thirds of the index ending lower. Energy was the only major sector to rise, up 1.31%, supported by higher oil prices.<\/p>\n<p>UnitedHealth Group shares rose 6.96% after the company raised its outlook. The article notes it was produced using an AI tool and reviewed by an editor.<\/p>\n<p>Looking back at this time in 2025, we saw sharp, geopolitically driven swings in the market. The S&#038;P 500 had its worst day since late March 2025 before futures immediately bounced back on ceasefire news. This kind of reversal highlights the market&#8217;s sensitivity to headline risk, a pattern that persists today.<\/p>\n<p>This underlying volatility is a key factor for traders right now. The VIX is currently holding above 17, reflecting elevated uncertainty even as the market grinds higher. We see this as an opportunity to use options to define risk, perhaps by buying straddles on the SPX to position for a significant move in either direction.<\/p>\n<p>Just as a hawkish Fed outlook pressured equities then, the same dynamic is at play in April 2026. With the latest March CPI data coming in hot at 3.1%, Fed officials have signaled rates will remain elevated for the foreseeable future. This suggests protective put options on rate-sensitive tech indices like the Nasdaq 100 could be a prudent hedge against another downturn.<\/p>\n<p>The energy sector was the sole gainer during the 2025 dip, and we see similar potential now. Geopolitical tensions in key shipping lanes and firm production quotas from OPEC+ have kept Brent crude prices above $90 per barrel. We believe call options on major energy ETFs offer a direct way to gain exposure to this continued strength.<\/p>\n<p>We also recall how strong individual earnings reports, like that from UnitedHealth in 2025, created opportunities even on a down day. As we are in the middle of Q1 2026 earnings season, traders should watch the implied volatility around major company reports. This can create chances to trade price gaps following announcements from market leaders.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>S&#038;P 500 futures climbed after worst drop since March; ceasefire extension helped, but hawkish Fed fears linger.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45595","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_src":null,"featured_image_src_square":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"josephine","author_link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/author\/josephine\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45595"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45595\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}