{"id":45426,"date":"2026-04-21T01:11:55","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T01:11:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/uncategorized\/45426\/"},"modified":"2026-04-21T01:11:55","modified_gmt":"2026-04-21T01:11:55","slug":"usd-chf-continues-falling-under-0-7800-after-50-day-sma-break-retesting-trendline-support-near-0-7775","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/live-updates\/45426\/","title":{"rendered":"USD\/CHF continues falling, under 0.7800 after 50-day SMA break, retesting trendline support near 0.7775"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF fell below 0.7800 after moving under the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.7828. It then tested a trendline and last week\u2019s low at 0.7775, and was down 0.37% at the time of writing.<\/p>\n<p>The downtrend remains in place, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving lower and dropping past its prior trough of 39. A break below 0.7775 could open a move to the 10 March low at 0.7747.<\/p>\n<p>If 0.7747 gives way, the next support level cited is the 2 March low at 0.7668. Further declines would depend on price action below these levels.<\/p>\n<p>For a rebound, price would need to regain 0.7800 and reclaim the 50-day SMA at 0.7828. After that, resistance levels noted are the 100-day SMA at 0.7868 and the 20-day SMA at 0.7906.<\/p>\n<p>A separate currency table reported the Swiss franc\u2019s percentage moves against major currencies today. It stated the Swiss franc was strongest against the Japanese yen.<\/p>\n<p>We remember the bearish setup from early 2025 when the pair broke decisively below the 0.7800 handle. That downtrend extended towards the 0.7668 target mentioned at the time before finding a bottom later that year. The market picture today is vastly different, with the pair having established a strong uptrend throughout the last twelve months.<\/p>\n<p>Currently, the USD\/CHF is trading near 0.9120, a level not seen since late 2024. This strength is underpinned by diverging monetary policies, as last week&#8217;s US inflation data came in at 3.1%, cementing expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening. Meanwhile, the Swiss National Bank is signaling potential rate cuts after industrial production figures for the first quarter of 2026 showed a 0.5% contraction.<\/p>\n<p>Given this bullish momentum, derivative traders should consider strategies that profit from further upside in the coming weeks. Buying at-the-money call options provides direct exposure to a potential rally towards the 0.9200 resistance level. For a more risk-defined approach, a bull call spread could be implemented to lower the upfront cost while still capturing gains from a steady advance.<\/p>\n<p>We must also consider that implied volatility has been creeping up, currently sitting around 8.5% for 1-month options. While this makes buying options slightly more expensive, it reflects the market&#8217;s anticipation of a significant move. Therefore, selling out-of-the-money put options could also be an attractive strategy to collect premium, provided traders are comfortable buying the pair at a lower price if assigned.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>USD\/CHF breaks below 0.7800, staying bearish; key supports 0.7775\/0.7747\/0.7668, resistances 0.7828\/0.7868\/0.7906; CHF strongest vs JPY.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45426","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_src":null,"featured_image_src_square":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"josephine","author_link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/author\/josephine\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45426","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45426"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45426\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45426"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45426"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45426"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}