{"id":45228,"date":"2026-04-17T10:38:04","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T10:38:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/uncategorized\/45228\/"},"modified":"2026-04-17T10:38:04","modified_gmt":"2026-04-17T10:38:04","slug":"uob-strategists-say-aud-usd-eased-from-0-7197-likely-trading-within-0-7130-0-7180-amid-broader-upside-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/live-updates\/45228\/","title":{"rendered":"UOB strategists say AUD\/USD eased from 0.7197, likely trading within 0.7130\u20130.7180 amid broader upside risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD pulled back after a spike to 0.7197. Intraday trading is expected to stay within 0.7130 to 0.7180.<\/p>\n<p>Over the next 1 to 3 weeks, upside risk remains, but conditions are overbought and momentum has slowed. A daily close above 0.7190 is needed to allow a move towards 0.7220.<\/p>\n<p>Further declines may occur, but there is no clear rise in downward momentum. Any downturn is expected to be part of the current range.<\/p>\n<p>Support at 0.7085 remains in place for the bullish case. If 0.7085 is broken, the upside view would weaken.<\/p>\n<p>The piece was produced using an AI tool and checked by an editor.<\/p>\n<p>We see the Aussie dollar\u2019s recent pullback from the 0.6800 level as a consolidation phase within a broader uptrend. This view is supported by the Reserve Bank of Australia\u2019s hawkish stance, as their latest minutes highlighted concerns with inflation still running at 3.1%. In the immediate term, we expect the pair to trade within a 0.6710\/0.6770 range.<\/p>\n<p>The underlying bullish pressure is being fueled by strong commodity prices, with iron ore recently pushing above $125 per tonne. This environment suggests that buying out-of-the-money call options or implementing bull call spreads could be a viable strategy to capture potential upside. These structures would allow traders to profit if the Aussie continues its climb while limiting downside risk.<\/p>\n<p>This situation is similar to the overbought conditions we observed in early 2025, where a brief pullback preceded the next leg higher. For the current bullish case to remain intact, the pair must hold above the strong support level of 0.6650. A decisive daily close above the key resistance at 0.6820 would confirm the trend\u2019s resumption, opening the way for a move toward the 0.6900 mark.<\/p>\n<p>Further support for our view comes from the US, where recent CPI data came in below expectations at 2.9%. This has softened the US dollar, as markets are now pricing in a more cautious Federal Reserve. This dynamic makes the Aussie dollar comparatively more attractive and supports the case for continued strength.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AUD\/USD retreats from 0.7197; range-bound 0.7130-0.7180, upside risk persists, but overbought conditions slow momentum again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_src":null,"featured_image_src_square":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"josephine","author_link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/author\/josephine\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45228","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=45228"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45228\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=45228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=45228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=45228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}