{"id":44756,"date":"2026-04-13T07:16:53","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T07:16:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/uncategorized\/44756\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T07:16:53","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T07:16:53","slug":"oil-surges-above-100-as-iran-tensions-escalate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/analysis\/44756\/","title":{"rendered":"Oil surges above $100 as Iran tensions escalate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/04\/1_Oil4-1024x573.webp\" alt=\"Crude oil barrel\" class=\"wp-image-47140\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Key Points<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CL-OIL is holding near the $100 level, with benchmark crude recently trading around $104, up roughly 7\u20138% on the day.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Brent has moved above $101\u2013102, while WTI has pushed past $104, marking a sharp repricing of geopolitical risk.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The rally is driven by escalating tensions and a U.S. naval blockade targeting Iranian-linked shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Shipping conditions remain constrained, with tankers avoiding the region and transit volumes still below normal levels.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil prices jumped sharply above the $100 mark as geopolitical risks returned to the forefront, following failed U.S.-Iran talks and a planned blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brent crude climbed to around $101\u2013102, while WTI moved above $104, as markets reacted to the renewed threat of supply disruption in one of the world\u2019s most critical energy chokepoints.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The move marks a reversal from the brief easing seen during the recent ceasefire period, reinforcing how sensitive oil remains to developments in the Middle East.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Supply Risk Back in Focus &#8211; Blockading an Already Blockaded Straight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">CNBC Daily Open: Trump goes from opening the Strait of Hormuz to blockading it <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/BCkLztzka0\">https:\/\/t.co\/BCkLztzka0<\/a><\/p>&mdash; CNBC (@CNBC) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/CNBC\/status\/2043505513652990169?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 13, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>The key driver behind the latest rally is not demand, but supply risk.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20% of global oil flows, making it one of the most strategically important routes in the energy market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With the U.S. preparing a naval blockade targeting Iranian-linked shipping, the market is now pricing in the potential loss of up to 2 million barrels per day of supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Even partial disruption is enough to tighten the market quickly. Tankers have already started avoiding the region, adding to concerns around near-term availability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Reaction Spreads Beyond Oil<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The spike in oil is not happening in isolation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Equity futures have come under pressure as higher energy costs raise concerns about inflation and growth<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Energy-linked assets are seeing renewed interest<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Safe-haven flows are picking up as geopolitical risk increases<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, the move highlights a familiar pattern. When geopolitical shocks hit supply, oil tends to react immediately, while broader markets adjust more gradually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Read more: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/discover\/why-crude-oil-prices-swing-wildly-and-what-every-trader-must-know\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Why Crude Oil Prices Swing Wildly<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Fragile Setup<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">US President Donald Trump\u2019s move to blockade the Strait of Hormuz risks deepening an unfolding economic crisis for Asia\u2019s energy-dependent economies, including America\u2019s allies in the region and China. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/I5FJK9oJhh\">https:\/\/t.co\/I5FJK9oJhh<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bloomberg (@business) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/business\/status\/2043493995196694871?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">April 13, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite the sharp move, the outlook remains highly dependent on how the situation evolves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are two competing forces:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Escalation risk<\/strong>: Further disruption or retaliation could push prices higher, especially if shipping through Hormuz is restricted further<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>De-escalation potential<\/strong>: Any renewed negotiations or easing of tensions could quickly reverse part of the rally<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This creates a market that is reactive rather than directional, with price swings driven more by headlines than fundamentals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">USOIL Technical Analysis<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>US Oil traded higher on Monday&#8217;s Asian session and currently trading above $100. Last week there was a huge bearish candlestick towards the downside and has create a huge fair value gap, it is likely that Oil will head towards previous high to fill the gap and trade above $110, provided if no successful negotiations is done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The moving averages are slowly aligning for a bullish trend but it is not confirmed yet, we have to see 3 of the EMAs aligning towards the upside before taking any long positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>MACD indicator is showing bullish histogram and the signal line is starting to cross into the positive region.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/04\/codeZDBjZjA2ZDMwNzY2N2I0M2U2ZmIxY2VhNmEwYjJmNzdfN3RIcTJvdks3Vm82ek9TU0E1WnplYU8xZ0FYM3JmdWJfVG9rZW46QUVGaWI4cjdJb1FSWG94ekcwTWxmWkJPZ0xnXzE3NzYwNjE2NDU6MTc3NjA2NTI0NV9WNA.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Key Levels To Watch:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Support: 100 -&gt; 95.9 -&gt; 91.2<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Resistance: 105-&gt; 109.2 -&gt; 113.6<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What to Watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Traders should focus on three key developments:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol start=\"1\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Strait of Hormuz traffic<\/strong> Any signs of further disruption or military escalation will directly impact supply expectations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Policy and military signals<\/strong> Statements from the U.S., Iran, and regional players will shape short-term sentiment.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Oil price follow-through<\/strong> A sustained move above $100 could trigger broader positioning shifts across commodities and inflation-sensitive assets.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Market Takeaway<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Oil\u2019s move back above $100 is a reminder that geopolitics can quickly override fundamentals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For now, the market is pricing in risk, not certainty. Whether this turns into a sustained rally or a short-term spike will depend on how the situation in the Middle East develops in the coming days.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Learn more about trading <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/energies\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">Energies<\/a> on VT Markets <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/Insights\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\" title=\"\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<details class=\"wp-block-details is-layout-flow wp-block-details-is-layout-flow\"><summary><strong>Trader Questions<\/strong><\/summary>\n<p><strong>What is driving oil prices above $100?<\/strong><br>The move is being driven by supply risk, not demand. Escalating tensions and a potential blockade in the Strait of Hormuz are raising concerns about disrupted oil flows, pushing prices higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Why is the Strait of Hormuz so important for oil markets?<\/strong><br>The Strait of Hormuz handles a significant share of global oil shipments. Any disruption there can quickly tighten supply, making it one of the most sensitive chokepoints for oil prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Is this oil rally likely to continue?<\/strong><br>It depends on geopolitical developments. Further escalation could push prices higher, while any signs of de-escalation or resumed negotiations could reverse the move quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/details>\n\n<p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Start trading now &#8211; Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account <\/strong> <\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil surges above $100 as Iran tensions disrupt supply. Traders watch Hormuz flows, geopolitical risks, and whether prices can sustain the rally. l VT Markets<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":44754,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analysis"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/04\/Oil4-1-600x400.webp","featured_image_src_square":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2026\/04\/Oil4-1-600x600.webp","author_info":{"display_name":"josephine","author_link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/author\/josephine\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET","POST","PUT","PATCH","DELETE"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44756\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/44754"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}