{"id":44041,"date":"2026-04-06T06:16:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T06:16:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/uncategorized\/44041\/"},"modified":"2026-04-06T06:16:09","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T06:16:09","slug":"us-iran-and-regional-mediators-weigh-a-45-day-ceasefire-deal-prospects-within-48-hours-appear-low","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/live-updates\/44041\/","title":{"rendered":"US, Iran and regional mediators weigh a 45-day ceasefire; deal prospects within 48 hours appear low"},"content":{"rendered":"The US, Iran and regional mediators are discussing terms for a possible 45-day ceasefire that could lead to an end of fighting, Bloomberg reported on Monday, citing Axios. The report said the chance of reaching a deal within the next 48 hours is low.\n\nUS President Donald Trump extended his deadline by 20 hours, setting a new deadline for Tuesday at 8:00pm EST.\n\n<h3>Ceasefire Talks And Market Reaction<\/h3>\nAt the time of publication, WTI was down 0.95% on the day at $102.85.\n\nWe recall the tensions in 2025 when WTI crude pushed past $102 amid talk of a direct conflict between the US and Iran. The possibility of a 45-day ceasefire introduced immense volatility as traders priced in a sudden collapse of the war risk premium. This serves as a key reminder of how quickly Middle East diplomacy can whipsaw energy markets.\n\nAs of today, with WTI trading at a more subdued $92.50, the market appears less concerned but we see this as a warning. The CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Index (OVX) is hovering near 35, significantly below the peaks above 50 that we saw during last year&#8217;s diplomatic deadlines. This suggests options are relatively cheap for hedging against a sudden return of hostilities.\n\nGiven the recent shipping disruptions near the Strait of Hormuz and OPEC+ maintaining its production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day, the fundamental support for oil remains strong. We should consider buying out-of-the-money call options expiring in the next 60 to 90 days. This strategy offers a low-cost way to capture significant upside if geopolitical tensions flare up unexpectedly.\n\n<h3>Hedging Strategy And Macro Risks<\/h3>\nHowever, we must also watch for signs of weakening global demand, as the Federal Reserve appears committed to its 5.25% interest rate to fight persistent inflation. This economic pressure could place a ceiling on any potential rally, making bull call spreads a prudent way to structure a trade. This approach would help finance the position and define risk in case a diplomatic breakthrough sends prices lower.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b>\n<p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Start trading now &#8211; Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account <\/strong> <\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>US, Iran and mediators discuss 45-day ceasefire; Bloomberg says deal unlikely in 48 hours, Trump extends deadline.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-44041","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_src":null,"featured_image_src_square":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"josephine","author_link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/author\/josephine\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44041","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44041"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/44041\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44041"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44041"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=44041"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}