{"id":30771,"date":"2026-03-16T10:03:48","date_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:03:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/uncategorized\/30771\/"},"modified":"2026-03-16T10:03:48","modified_gmt":"2026-03-16T10:03:48","slug":"amid-growing-hopes-for-resolving-irans-war-the-eur-jpy-pair-climbs-to-around-182-60-after-two-losses","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/live-updates\/30771\/","title":{"rendered":"Amid growing hopes for resolving Iran\u2019s war, the EUR\/JPY pair climbs to around 182.60 after two losses"},"content":{"rendered":"EUR\/JPY rose after two days of losses, trading near 182.60 in Asian hours on Monday. It moved above 182.50 as the Euro strengthened after a report that the US-Israel conflict with Iran could end within \u201cthe next few weeks\u201d.\n\nThe report said this could allow oil supplies to recover and energy prices to ease. Despite this, the Euro remains under pressure from higher oil prices, which can worsen Europe\u2019s trade balance.\n\n<h3>Central Bank Rate Expectations<\/h3>\nMoney markets now price in two European Central Bank rate hikes this year. Last month, no policy moves were expected.\n\nOn Sunday, French President Emmanuel Macron said freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz must be restored as soon as possible. He also urged Iran\u2019s president to halt attacks against countries in the region, including Lebanon and Iraq.\n\nAttention is turning to the ECB\u2019s next policy meeting. President Christine Lagarde is expected to explain how the bank plans to respond to conflict-related inflation pressures.\n\nThe pair may also face resistance as the Japanese Yen finds support from expectations of possible currency intervention. Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said the government is monitoring moves closely and is ready to take strong action if needed.\n\n<h3>Lessons From The 2025 2026 Volatility<\/h3>\nWe recall the brief optimism in late 2025 when EUR\/JPY crossed 182.50, driven by hopes that the conflict with Iran would end quickly. This sentiment was based on the idea that easing energy prices would bolster the Euro. In retrospect, with WTI crude having since spiked to over $110 per barrel that winter, this proved to be a false dawn as the pair fell below 175.00 by January 2026.\n\nThe market&#8217;s pricing of two European Central Bank rate hikes in late 2025 was correct, but traders who bought call options on this news were caught offside. The hikes were a reaction to persistent energy inflation, which ultimately damaged the economy more than the higher rates supported the currency. Recent Eurostat data confirmed the Eurozone entered a technical recession in the second half of 2025, showing the negative impact of those high energy costs.\n\nThe warnings from Japanese authorities about intervention were not hollow, creating a significant risk for anyone holding long EUR\/JPY positions back then. We saw decisive action from the Ministry of Finance in November 2025, which drove the yen sharply higher and caused daily swings of over 300 pips. This highlights why long-dated options, such as straddles that profit from this kind of volatility, would have been a more prudent strategy than a simple directional bet.\n\n<b><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarkets.com\/trade-now\/\">Create your live VT Markets account<\/a>\u00a0and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.vtmarkets.com\/login\">start trading<\/a>\u00a0now. <\/b>\n<p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Start trading now &#8211; Click <a href=\"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/trade-now\/\">here<\/a> to create your real VT Markets account <\/strong> <\/p>\r\n<!-- \/wp:post-content -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EUR\/JPY rebounds near 182.60 as euro lifts on de-escalation hopes; ECB hikes eyed; yen intervention watched.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":38,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30771","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-live-updates"],"acf":[],"aioseo_notices":[],"featured_image_src":null,"featured_image_src_square":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"josephine","author_link":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/author\/josephine\/"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30771","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/38"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30771"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30771\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30771"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30771"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.vtmarketsglobal.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30771"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}