Live Updates

    23 March 2026
    MUFG expects Middle East turmoil, energy shocks and flows to weaken the yen further, lifting USD/JPY

    MUFG warns yen weakness may persist as Middle East tensions lift energy costs, yields, and unhedged outflows.

    23 March 2026
    US construction spending fell 0.3% month-on-month, missing the 0.1% rise forecast, according to latest data

    US construction spending fell 0.3% in January, missing forecasts for a 0.1% rise, signaling sector slowdown.

    23 March 2026
    Societe Generale economists say the ECB may weigh early insurance rate rises, prioritising energy-shock data analysis

    Societe Generale says ECB may consider earlier insurance rate hikes if energy shock boosts inflation more than growth.

    23 March 2026
    Geopolitical easing weakens the US dollar, sending USD/JPY down 0.40% to around 158.60, after 158.25

    USD/JPY slid to 158.60 as Trump delayed Iran strike plans, easing safe-haven demand and boosting yen.

    23 March 2026
    TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada to hold its overnight rate at 2.25% through 2026, despite markets pricing tightening

    TD Securities forecasts Bank of Canada holding 2.25% through 2026, despite markets pricing 75 bps tightening.

    23 March 2026
    Following Trump’s delayed Iranian energy strike plans, the weakening US Dollar leaves USD/CAD directionless, with CAD steady

    Canadian Dollar mixed as US dollar eased after Trump delayed Iran strikes; oil fell, limiting CAD pressure.

    23 March 2026
    BNP Paribas expects 2026 US GDP 2.9% and inflation 3.0%, keeping Fed rate range 3.5–3.75%

    BNP Paribas sees stronger 2026 U.S. growth, steady Fed rates, higher inflation, and a weaker dollar.

    23 March 2026
    Pesole at ING says risk-off conditions cap sterling gains, keeping EUR/GBP slightly above fair value estimate

    EUR/GBP trades slightly above ING fair value; ECB and BoE speakers, plus PMIs, may drive moves.

    23 March 2026
    OCBC says BoE messaging drove market repricing, pricing 85bps tightening by 2026, delaying anticipated third-quarter cuts

    Bank of England messaging triggered repricing; 2026 hikes priced higher, cut less certain, GBP/USD stable amid stagflation risks.

    23 March 2026
    Trump told Fox Business that Iran urgently seeks an agreement, possibly reached within five days or sooner

    Trump says Iran seeks deal within five days; markets turn risk-on as oil slides and stocks rise.

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