US one-year consumer inflation expectations rose to 3.8% in March, surpassing 3.4% forecasts by 0.4 points.
University of Michigan Consumer Expectations Index fell to 51.7 in March, under forecast 54.1, signaling weaker sentiment.
U.S. five-year consumer inflation expectations held at 3.2% in March, matching forecasts and signaling steady outlook.
U.S. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 53.3 in March, missing the 54 forecast.
Commerzbank adds Iran war energy shock; sees eurozone headline inflation above 3% in 2026, returning to 2% by 2027.
Rising oil and war risks weaken markets; dollar strengthens as funding stress grows, prolonging restrictive central-bank policies.
MUFG says limited pause and ten-tanker passage won’t ease Hormuz constraints; Brent could surge, markets risk-off.
Canadian Dollar steadies; April seasonality often favors CAD. USD/CAD above 200-day average, targeting low 1.39s.
Equity declines haven’t boosted the U.S. dollar, implying a weakened safe-haven role amid Middle East conflict uncertainty.
USD/CAD hits two-month high as Middle East tensions, safe-haven dollar demand outweigh oil, shifting Fed expectations.
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